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The GapWhere the best price beats the fair priceHit RatesHow often he actually goes overProjectionsThe number, not the lineOdds ComparisonConsensus against the best numberFree MoneyBoth sides priced wrong at onceProp Parlay BuilderBuild it, price it, see the holdFree PicksOne number a day, on the house
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NBA player props · live board

NBA player props

Points, rebounds, assists and threes for tonight's slate, each with its fair price and the best number anyone is posting.

Show me the gapsHit rates

Tonight's board

Projections →

Every row is a two-sided number. The fair price is the market with the hold stripped out; the gap is what the best available number pays over that fair price. Prices come from FantasyDailies and move all day.

The NBA markets we price

Points

The line moves on minutes, not on talent.

Rebounds

The single most matchup-dependent number in the sport.

Assists

Who else is on the floor decides it.

Threes Made

High variance, wide holds, occasional gifts.

Pts+Reb+Ast

One number that hides three. Price it carefully.

Steals & Blocks

Tiny samples. The price has to be enormous.

Basketball props and the minutes problem

Almost every NBA prop is really a bet on playing time. A rebound line set for 34 minutes is a different bet at 27. Injury news moves these numbers harder than any other league, which is why the board refreshes rather than sitting still.

The market numbers here are live. The three-season hit-rate tape is football-only for now and the board will not print a rate for a league it has not measured. Also worth your time: the gap board, free money, and the method.